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Windpower report 2008


Overview of China Wind Power Industry, 2008
www.ResearchInChina.com

Contents

1 2 3 4 5

China’s Wind Power Development Wind Power Equipment Market Wind Power Generation Market Risks & Opportunities Related Reports and About Us

China Wind Power Development

Geographic Distribution of Wind Resource in China
In China, wind resources are mainly distributed in Northeast, Northwest and Huabei, as well as the off-shore areas in Southeast

According to China Meteorological Administration (CMA), the developable terrestrial area (10-meters high) is about 200,000 square km, with wind resource between 600 GW – 1,000 GW, and the developable off-shore area is about157,000 square km, with wind resource between 100 GW – 200 GW

China Wind Farm Distribution

Provincial Distribution of Wind Farms
Provincial Distribution of Wind Farms, by the end of Apr, 2008
Type Province Accumulative Installed Capacity of Projected Wind Farms (Unit: MW) Key Regions Heibei Inner Mongolia Coastal Areas along Suzhou and Shanghai Gansu Jilin Liaoning Xinjiang Region Subtotal General Regions Shandong Guangdong Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region Fujian Heilongjiang Zhejiang Shanxi Subtotal Other Regions Total 16000 600 600 500 400 200 250 250 2800 1200 20000 Uygur Autonomous 4000 1000 1000 1000 3000 4000 2000 Existing and

China Cumulative Installed Capacity
By the end of 2008, China’s accumulative installed capacity has reached 13.24 GW, the new installed capacity was 7.33 GW during the year. China’s accumulative installed capacity, 200-2008

1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0

1324

591 126 2005 260

35 2000

40 2001

47 2002

57 2003

76 2004

2006

2007

2008

Accumulative Intalled Capacity(10MW)

China Regional Installed Capacity
By the end of 2007, according to the accumulative installed capacity, the top five provinces in China was Inner Mongolia, Jiling, Liaoning, Hebei and Heilongjiang.

Contents

1 2 3 4 5

China’s Wind Power Development Wind Power Equipment Market Wind Power Generation Market Risks & Opportunities Related Reports and About Us

China Wind Power Industry Chain Structure

China Turbine Manufacturers

In 2008, the quantity of domestic turbine manufacturer has dramatically increased to 70 from only 6 in 2004, their overall market share climbed to 56% in 2007 from 25% in 2004, and the figure is expected to reach about 70% in 2008.

Share Distribution of Turbine Manufacturers

Market Share Distribution of Wind Turbine Manufacturers in China, 2007

Market Share Distribution Among Domestic Turbine Manufacturers in 2007

Chinese Market Share Distribution Among Foreign Turbine Manufacturers in 2007

Proportion of Various Turbines

Newly-Added Proportion of Various Turbine according to Output Power
150% 100% 50% 0% 600KW & below 750KW 850KW 1500KW Above 1500KW

2006 newly added 5% 21% 35% 23% 6%

2007 newly added 0% 25% 24% 40% 11%

2008 newly added 0% 23% 21% 42% 14%

Equipment Market -- Goldwind
Performance of Goldwind, 2005-2008

Output of Goldwind, 2005-2008

Equipment Market -- Dongfang Electric
2007 2008E 2009E 2010E

Sales volume (sets) Sales volume (10 MW) Average million/MW) Sales revenue (CNY million) Gross profit Cost (CNY million) Net profit margin Net profit (CNY million) price (CNY

200 30 6

700 105 6

1,000 150 5.8

1,200 180 5.8

Dongfang Electric’s Sales on Wind Turbine, 2007-2010

1,800 8% 1,656 -1% -18

6,300 20% 5,040 6% 378

8,700 22% 6,786 7% 609

10,440 25% 7,830 8% 835

Blade

Baoding

Huiteng/Shanghai

FRP

Research

Institute/Dongfang Steam Turbine Works Gear box Spindle Nanjing High-Speed & Accurate Gear /CQ Gearbox/China Erzhong Spindle: Dongfang Steam Turbine Works; Bearing: SKF/FAG/ Bearing:SKF/FAG/Jingye/Wafangdian Bearing Yongji/Lanzhou/Dongfeng/Nanyang/Tianyuan/XEMC Yaw motor: Nanjing High-speed & Accurate Gear; Yaw bearing: XREB/Wangfangdian Bearing/Tianma Bearing Central Monitoring System Electric Control System Hydraulic System Wheel (including variable Import Import Dongfang Steam Turbine Works Wheel: Dongfang Steam Turbine Works; Variable propeller: LUST/SSB Self-made

Part & Component Vendors for Dongfang Electric Corporation

(bearing, coupling) Motor Yaw Control System

propeller) Engine Room (include cover)

Contents

1 2 3 4 5

China’s Wind Power Development Wind Power Equipment Market Wind Power Generation Market Risks & Opportunities Related Reports and About Us

China Power Generation Groups

New Installed Capacity of China’s Five Power Generation Groups in 2007 Unit: 10,000KW

Guodian Group’s Installed Capacity

Installed Electric Power Capacity Distribution of China Guodian, by the end of Jun, 2008

Performance of Longyuan

Longyuan Electric Power Group Corporation is the key subsidiary of Guodian Group which focus on wind power development, by Dec 2008, it had one fourth of China’s total installed capacity. The Accumulative Installed Capacity of Longyuan, 2005-2020E

Datang Group’s Installed Capacity

Accumulative Installed Capacity of Datang Group, 2005-2008

Huaneng group’s Installed Capacity

Accumulative Installed Capacity of Huaneng Group, 2006-2010E

Huadian Group’s Installed Capacity
Accumulative Installed Capacity of Huadian Group, 2006-2010E

China Power Investment Group’s Installed Capacity

Installed Electric Power Capacity Distribution of China Power Investment Group in 2007

Contents

1 2 3 4 5

China’s Wind Power Development Wind Power Equipment Market Wind Power Generation Market Risks & Opportunities Related Reports and About Us

China Wind Power Industry Risks

Tense cash flow of Power Generation Groups CDM Price Declining of Wind Power Projects

Starting from October 2008, power generation has shown a negative growth, and the gap between the generating cost of wind power and traditional energies will be widened together with the price drop of steam coal.

China Wind Power Industry Opportunities

Since China wind power market is led by the government, 80% of the market goes to large state-owned electric power groups. In this sense, the mentioned risks above impose no effect on the sound development of wind power industry. Judging from wind power manufacturers at present, the global financial crisis and domestic economic slowdown has not exerted great influence on the demand for wind power yet, on the contrary, the style transition of value added tax and the policies for securing economic growth will further spur the demand. In medium and long term, the style transition of value added tax will increase the tax credit which is brought by equipment procurement of wind farms, thereby improving the internal rate of return of wind power operation and stimulating the demand for wind power equipments. As long as the economic growth can be sustained, the government is likely to issue more preferable policies for wind power industry to shore up the investments into new energies. National Development and Reform Commission probably promotes the goal of installed wind power capacity in 2020 from 30 GW to 100 GW. In addition, the cost pressure of wind power manufacturers will be lighted with the declining prices of raw materials like steel.

Contents

1 2 3 4 5

China’s Wind Power Development Wind Power Equipment Market Wind Power Generation Market Risks & Opportunities Related Reports and About Us

Related Reports

China Wind Power Industry Report, 2008 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2009/5630.html China Wind Power Equipment Market Report, 2008 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5621.html China Wind Power Equipment Manufacturing Report, 2007 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5009.html Investment Strategy Report of China Wind Power Equipment Industry, 2007-2008 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5172.html China Power Transmission and Distribution Equipment Industry Report, 2008 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5416.html China Thermal Power Industry Report, 2007-2008 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5241.html

Related Reports
Global and China Solar Polysilicon Industry Chain Report, 2008 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5537.html China Solar Water Heater Market Report 2008 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5398.html Investment Strategy Report of China Electric Power Equipment Industry,2007 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5093.html China Heating Radiator Market Report, 2007-2008 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/5167.html China Electric Power Industry Report, 2007 http://www.researchinchina.com/Htmls/Report/2008/4981.html

About ResearchInChina

ResearchInChina was established in 1999, has become a leading independent provider of China business intelligence. Our research is designed to meet the diverse planning and information needs of businesses, institutions, and professional investors worldwide. Our services are used in a variety of ways, including strategic planning, product and sales forecasting, risk and sensitivity management, and as investment research. We have over 500 clients worldwide, including the largest commercial and investment banks; insurance companies; research institutions; financial services firms; mutual funds; manufacturers; utilities; and industrial and technology clients.

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